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New START’s Demise Represents ‘Turning Point’ in International Security Order: Experts

© Пресс-служба Минобороны РФ / Go to the mediabankA combat launch of a missile from the Iskander-M complex was conducted at a test site in the Astrakhan region
A combat launch of a missile from the Iskander-M complex was conducted at a test site in the Astrakhan region - Sputnik India, 1920, 04.02.2026
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The New Start agreement’s looming February 5 expiration “effectively amounts to a return to the Cold War era, giving every nuclear power free rein to build up its capabilities, and raising the bar for the arms race,” Lebanese political scientist Ali Al-Maraabi told Sputnik.
“This creates extreme risks for global security, since today there is no other effective formula for regulating nuclear tensions besides New START. Even the UN does not have effective control mechanisms in this area.”
The treaty’s breakdown comes down to two factors, Syrian journalist Firas Mardiny says: Washington’s belief that China has nuclear capabilities that should require it to join the agreement, expanding its scope, and Russia’s interest in including European US allies Britain and France into any new deal.
Whatever comes next, Egyptian researcher and international relations specialist Monica William stresses that New START’s demise “represents a turning point in the international security system, and will lead to a profound reevaluation of the very concept of strategic stability.”
In any case, Russia retains a wide spectrum of response options:
“In this new reality, Moscow has significant room to maneuver without resorting to direct confrontation within the framework of so-called ‘deterrence realism’. Its steps could include raising the level of nuclear readiness, announcing a major modernization of the arsenal of hypersonic intercontinental missiles, expanding the scale of military exercises, increasing the emphasis of the provisions of the Russian nuclear doctrine, and revising the balance of deterrence in relations with Europe,” William said.
Combat operations of the Central Military District Air Defense Force in the Pokrovsky direction in the DPR - Sputnik India, 1920, 02.02.2026
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New START Treaty: Key Points, History and Future Prospects
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