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Why Didn't Iran & Pakistan Rush Into Nuclear War?

© AFP 2023 AAMIR QURESHIPakistan's military vehicles carrying missiles Nasr (R) and Babur (L) take part in a military parade to mark Pakistan's National Day in Islamabad on March 25, 2021.
Pakistan's military vehicles carrying missiles Nasr (R) and Babur (L) take part in a military parade to mark Pakistan's National Day in Islamabad on March 25, 2021. - Sputnik India, 1920, 22.01.2024
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Tensions between Tehran and Islamabad soured following tit-for-tat military strikes last week. However, both nations have since emphasized the need to de-escalate after talks between Pakistani Foreign Minister Jalil Abbas Jilani and his Iranian counterpart Hossein Amir-Abdollahian.
Amid a week of hostilities between neighbors Iran and Pakistan, two geopolitical experts have stressed that Islamabad isn't a problem for Iran, rather America is.
The comments from Iranian international relations analyst Ehsan Safarnejad and Dr Premanand Mishra, a professor at the New Delhi-based Jamia Milia Islamia (JMI) university come amid an easing of tensions between the two neighboring states.
In one example on Sunday, Iran announced that its strategically located Chabahar port was ready to open its doors for trade with Pakistan.

"The strategic port of Chabahar is ready for the development of trade between Iran and Pakistan, in this regard, it has adequate loading and unloading equipment, and vessels with a displacement of 120,000 tons can be moored at this port," an official Iranian statement read.

© AP Photo / Vahid SalemiFILE - In this March 11, 2013 file photo, Iranian workers weld two gas pipes together at the start of construction on a pipeline to transfer natural gas from Iran to Pakistan, in Chabahar, southeastern Iran, near the Pakistani border
FILE - In this March 11, 2013 file photo, Iranian workers weld two gas pipes together at the start of construction on a pipeline to transfer natural gas from Iran to Pakistan, in Chabahar, southeastern Iran, near the Pakistani border - Sputnik India, 1920, 23.01.2024
FILE - In this March 11, 2013 file photo, Iranian workers weld two gas pipes together at the start of construction on a pipeline to transfer natural gas from Iran to Pakistan, in Chabahar, southeastern Iran, near the Pakistani border

Iran Probably Pakistan's Only Reliable Neighbour

Safarnejad told Sputnik India that, "Looking at the history, the outcome [of de-escalation] wasn't shocking. Iran was the first country to recognize Pakistan's independence and also supported it during the 1971 Indo-Pak war."

"Despite grievances that Iran has, vis-à-vis actions like Pakistan's support of the Taliban and some other groups, the two countries are probably each other's more reliable neighbors, considering the tensions that Pakistan has with India and Israeli Mossad's malign activities in Azerbaijan and Kurdistani region of Iraq. To sum it up, both countries have bigger fish to fry," he explained.

On the other hand, Mishra noted that Iran sees the US as their main rival followed by Israel rather than Pakistan.

Why Were Missiles Strikes Conducted After All?

Mishra pointed out that for a long time, Iran has been asking Pakistan to handle the Baloch insurgency it is seeing at its border.
He stated that the Iran-Pakistan border spans 909 km, with 9 million ethnic Balochs residing on each side.
The academic expressed that Balochs face challenges like economic deprivation, and Iran claims insurgents cross the border, leading to tensions inside its territory. The two countries have previously collaborated to combat the Baloch insurgency; nevertheless, tensions persist as each side accuses the other of harboring and supporting terrorists.
"I believe that Iran's decision to strike was guided by an internal pressure on the need to flex its military muscle to deter further targeted killings of its senior army commanders and strikes against its allies in the region," Mishra highlighted. "Plus, the Iranian government also made the whole issue a national security issue, given that it has parliamentary elections coming up in six weeks."
Mishra reckoned that it left Pakistan in a position where it had no option other than retaliating to draw a red line on Iranian action into its territory as Pakistan was already under a spell of political instability and economic turmoil. Pakistan, too, has to undergo a national election on February 14.
"Iran believes that Americans are the root cause of the problems across the world, and the US believes that Iran is the root cause of the problems in the region," he added.
Iran has been under economic sanctions since 1979 for various reasons led by the US-led Western bloc, including the European Union.
"Iran has to send a more significant message to the world that it is surviving and doing good even during sanctions," Mishra concluded.
A Pakistani-made Shaheen-III missile, that is capable of carrying nuclear warheads, is carried on a trailer during a military parade in connection with Pakistan National Day celebrations, in Islamabad, Pakistan, Thursday, March 25, 2021. - Sputnik India, 1920, 19.01.2024
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