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How Russia's Pivot to Asia Benefits India in a Big Way

© AP Photo / Dmitri LovetskyПрезидент России Владимир Путин, министр обороны России Андрей Белоусов и главнокомандующий ВМФ адмирал Александр Моисеев на военно-морском параде, посвященном Дню ВМФ России
Президент России Владимир Путин, министр обороны России Андрей Белоусов и главнокомандующий ВМФ адмирал Александр Моисеев на военно-морском параде, посвященном Дню ВМФ России - Sputnik India, 1920, 05.09.2024
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Russia has vowed to increase economic and security ties with Asia-Pacific nations, according to the new Foreign Policy concept unveiled last March. India could be a major beneficiary of Russia’s new geopolitical strategy.
India is well-positioned to benefit significantly from Russia’s pivot to Asia in the last two years, experts have shared with Sputnik India.

“Definitely, Russia’s role in helping to address India’s food, fertilizer and fuel security in the last two years is undeniable,” remarked Rajan Kumar, an Associated Professor at Centre for Russian and Central Asian Studies, School of International Studies (SIS) at Jawaharlal Nehru University (JNU).

Kumar underscored the fact that Russian crude exports to India, which averaged 1.80 million barrels per day (bpd) in last month (Kpler), have helped in securing a windfall for Indian refiners amid global volatility in markets in the wake of Ukraine and Gaza conflicts.
“In approximate terms, Indian refiners have saved $7-$10 billion due to importing Russian oil at discounted prices despite energy market volatility,” the JNU professor stated.
Even as Prime Minister Narendra Modi and President Vladimir Putin set a trade turnover target of $100 billion by 2030, Kumar emphasised that a joint priority now was to address the issue of “trade imbalance” by bolstering Indian exports to Russia.

“There is also the need to increase Russian investments in India, including in Make in India initiatives. Both these measures would help in making our economic partnership sustainable in the long-term,” the academic stated.

According to data of Russian oil and coal exports from December 2022 to April 2024, nearly 35% of Moscow’s outgoing shipments were bought by Indian entities. As far as India’s concerned, Russia has emerged as its biggest crude supplier since last year, accounting for 30-40% of its energy imports. In terms of coal, Russian exports, mainly the coking coal variety, to India have surged by nearly 300% in the last three years.
Further, as highlighted by Modi during his recent meeting with Putin at the Kremlin in July, Russian fertilizer exports have helped in ensuring food and fertilizer security in India, where agriculture is the largest employer.
Continued availability of energy resources and agricultural inputs is deemed as being critical for India to sustain its trajectory of clocking 6-8% annual GDP growth, in a bid to become the world's third biggest economy by 2030.

The Road Ahead

Dr Ankit Shah, a foreign policy expert and author, told Sputnik India that increased participation of Russian investors in Bharat’s (India) growth story, particularly in crucial domains like defence, would benefit both the countries.
"Other areas of mutual interest would be joint exploration and mining projects in the Russian Far-East and the Arctic region and ramping up Russian LNG exports,” Shah said.
He also underlined the importance of further strengthening of people-to-people linkages between the two nations to bolster overall ties.

“There is a need to increase tourism exchanges, language training and expedite the process of mutual recognition of academic degrees and professional courses,” Shah remarked.

Further, the geoeconomic expert said that bilaterally as well in the BRICS framework, the governments should redouble efforts towards floating a payments platform outside the purview of the SWIFT network.
“Such a platform would not only avoid the sanctions threat, but also reduce costs incurred on transactions and exchange,” he said.
Commenting on New Delhi and Moscow’s common goal to establish a multipolar world order, Shah reckoned that Moscow had a “considerable role” to play in increasing understanding between China and Bharat through platforms such as BRICS, Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) and RIC (Russia-India-China).
In the same vein, he expressed confidence that the global economic centre of gravity would move towards the Eurasia in coming years, as indicated by the rise of BRICS
“A lot of price-setting of commodities and international trade will take place through Eurasian centres such as GIFT City, Moscow and Shanghai,” the expert forecast.
Further, he stated that India’s presence in BRICS and SCO had increased these groupings’ appeal for other developing states.

“India's presence is a major draw for many other Global South countries to join these organisations, as we witness a growing interest in non-Western multilateral governance models,” Shah concluded.

PM MODI ON COVER OF A MAGAZINE AT EASTERN ECONOMIC FORUM IN RUSSIA's VLADIVOSTOK - Sputnik India, 1920, 04.09.2024
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